Measuring Risk of Displacement

UC Berkeley’s Urban Displacement Project has released a Housing Precarity Risk Model which shows which communities are at highest risk of experiencing displacement.

They conclude that most of St. Louis City and County north of Delmar is at high risk for displacement.

In their model, housing precarity risk is a composite score of eviction risk, displacement vulnerability, and pandemic unemployment. Eviction risk is also a composite score of the following factors: percent Black, rent, change in rent, percent with college degrees, percent of households with seniors, percent married, and building age. Displacement risk is a composite of the percentage of low-income renters and increasing rent.